Updated UFC 271 Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets for Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson, More (Saturday, February 12)
Updated UFC 271 Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets for Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson, More (Saturday, February 12) article characteristic imageMMA
Credit: Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC. Pictured (L-R): UFC opponents Jared Cannonier and Derek Brunson.
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Updated:
Feb 12, 2022, 06:47 PM EST
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Looking for some UFC bets beforehand of Saturday night time's huge card? We've were given you blanketed.
Our MMA analysts are betting bouts at UFC 271: William Knight vs. Maxim Grishin and Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson.
Check out in which they're finding betting value in those matchups.
Houston will host a huge Pay-Per-View card for the 0.33 time in 8 months with UFC 271 set to take place Saturday.
The 14-combat card starts at 6 p.M. ET on ESPN+ and features a stacked early prelim component with five fights, then movements to ESPN for 4 more bouts at eight p.M. ET. The 5-combat important card is headlined through the plenty anticipated rematch among Middleweight champion Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker for the 185-pound title.
So in which should you be seeking to location your bets? Our team has pinpointed three fights and choices on Saturday’s huge card that gift making a bet cost.
You can discover their evaluation and picks on those matches under.
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Billy Ward: William Knight vs. Maxim Grishin
Contributor at The Action Network
William “Knightmare” Knight is facing Max Grishin in prelim action, in what's now a heavyweight bout. The combat was originally scheduled in the 205 kilos division, however Knight obviously had a few hassle making weight. He weighed in at 218 kilos, a completely sizable 12 pound leave out.
Historical betting statistics on combatants missing weight within reason blended, and not using a clean edges. However, this is a one of a kind scenario. Knight turned into one of the first opponents to weigh in Friday morning. That method this turned into truly deliberate, and he wasn’t draining himself to get as near as feasible. It’s likely that he could’ve gotten closer, however knew he wouldn’t make the limit.
In my profession as a fighter, I negotiated a handful of weight associated mishaps (each mine and my warring parties). Generally, given the financial incentives involved, combatants who omit truely can’t cut any greater weight, and are pretty depleted by way of the load cut. I doubt that’s the case with Knight, who has made weight in every of his earlier UFC bouts.
Grishin however, weighed in on the restriction quickly earlier than Knight. He’s probably to be more depleted from a weight cut, however nevertheless fighting a bigger opponent. That’s a disadvantageous situation to be in. Do yourself a prefer and do an photograph search for Knight — dude is a monster.
Even without the weight factor, those odds represented a cost on Knight. Knight is three-1 in the UFC getting into this bout, with an excellent win over Alonzo Menifield his closing time out. He has plus-power, and is a succesful grappler.
Grishin is 1-2 inside the UFC, with his most effective win capping off a 4-combat dropping streak for his opponent (Gadzhimurad Antigulov) who was promptly launched from the UFC. We haven’t seen him choose up a win in opposition to a high-level opponent but, and at 37 years old, it’s hard to see a whole lot improvement coming for him at this point in his career.
This combat have to be a pick out‘em at worst, but Knight has odds as long as +150 on DraftKings. I’d guess it right down to +120.
The Pick: Knight ML (+a hundred and fifty)
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Erich Richter: Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson
Contributor at The Action Network
Rarely do I enjoy making a bet moneylines with hefty juice like this one. However, I agree with that Cannonier must be a -two hundred favourite here. When we look again at Derek Brunson’s beyond five wins they had been an unlikely, albeit amusing to observe and worthwhile.
However, much like poker, in MMA you have to ride your guys as long as viable and then bail on them without a moment’s hesitation. Profitability in MMA making a bet is a cut throat business.
Furthermore, this matchup is a very one of a kind stage of competition for Brunson than what he has confronted within the beyond.
In his closing three fights, we've got seen Brunson take down and manage his warring parties effectively. Good luck doing that against Cannonier who has the exceptional takedown defense amongst active UFC middleweights consistent with UFC Stats. Moreover, Cannonier has TKO wins over Anderson Silva and Jack Hermansson.
Asking Brunson to strike with Cannonier, who could be stronger and extra powerful than Brunson, is a tough ask. Brunson does now not have the chin that I can anticipate him to win with. In truth, I suppose Cannonier gets this carried out via KO/TKO. However there's little cost in this technique of victory prop (+120).
Instead, I have a small stab at Cannonier KO/TKO in the second spherical +650 (DraftKings). This is worth a guess all the way down to +575 earlier than I pass on his alternate method/round blend props. His moneyline is a completely engaging play at the modern rate.
The Pick: Jared Cannonier -160 KO/TKO R2 +650
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Sean Zerillo: Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson
Betting Analyst, The Action Network
I went into tons extra detail on the matchup among these on this combat, which I view as a capability Middleweight name eliminator, however in quick, I’m in step with Erich in this one.
I projected Jared Cannonier as a 63.6% favored (-one hundred seventy five implied), and I’m glad to guess his moneyline as much as that fee. Given Brunson’s tendency to gasoline from wrestling, I could additionally appearance to guess Cannonier stay after Round 1.
Cannonier to win within the distance (projected +one hundred ten, listed +one hundred ten) is a honest rate, and it’s difficult to assume him winning clear mins on the feet and not completing the combat. His prop to win in Round 1 (boosted to +300 at Caesars) can also be well worth a poke, but his moneyline is my favourite guess in this card.
The Pick: Cannonier (-one hundred sixty)
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