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Music City Bow North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt Monday 12-31-2012

 

Music City Bowl: North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt

Channel | ESPN 

North Carolina State (7-5) vs. Vanderbilt (8-4) in Nashville. The Wolfpack's strengths are QB Mike Glennon and a veteran secondary, while the Commodores rely on RB Zac Stacy and outstanding receivers. These teams last met in 1946.
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Vanderbilt is a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat North Carolina State. Zac Stacy is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where North Carolina State wins, Mike Glennon averages 2.13 TD passes vs 0.88 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.1 TDs to 1.19 interceptions. Shadrach Thornton averages 68 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when North Carolina State wins and 64 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Vanderbilt has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN -7 --- Over/Under line is 52
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